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It’s the greatest gig in the world, being alive; you get to eat at Denny’s, wear a hat, whatever you wanna do.

Norm Macdonald

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The Trail

Monday, December 1st, 2025

Alchemy

Rory Sutherland

Read by the mellifluous, or at least fabulously raconteur author, Alchemy serves to me as the contemporary vital yin to J. Storrs Hall’s Where is My Flying Car yang. Yes, we must overcome our engineering slump and get back on track towards the Jetsons, but at the same time, Sutherland pretty conclusively persuades, we leave a lot of psycho-physics on the table.

After all, what matters to living creatures is not facts but our perception of those facts, and we must stop neglecting this aspect of societal (and any other) improvement and progress. But because physical improvements are easier to measure than psychological ones, and psychological ones are not obvious and often counter-intuitive, we lean towards faster trains rather than other improvements around a journey that could shorten the entire journey. It’s basically a manifesto for bringing marketers and advertisers into decision-making usually reserved for accounts and lawyers.

One choice sentence:

Sometimes I have a £3.29 headache rather than a 79p one.

This is not merely fatuous; Rory backs it up with an ingenious defence of the placebo effect, pointing out that sometimes we don’t get ill until we’ve finished a big task, that we have a healing mode that focuses energies there.

Thursday, April 25th, 2024

I just used the term “midwit” in a post, I’m pretty sure for the first time, but some tendril of editorial integrity made me look it up and it is discomfiting. One nice definition:

An internet term that ironically, is something only an actual midwit would try to use on in the internet to look vErY sMaRt.

Yes ⁠— there should be a term for a derogatory term the very use of which classifies you as an instance of it. At any rate, since I had to hold back from using it myself, I am inclined to think I am indeed a midwit, or if not one, only slightly not one.

Someone who is around average intelligence but is so opinionated and full of themselves that they think they’re some kind of genius.

And:

Generally found in the 105-120 IQ range. These are the people who are considered “gifted” in primary school and perhaps “honors” in high school.

I notice myself trying to think but cannot; I can merely react.

Saturday, March 25th, 2023

Woke:

  • its core demand: are you going to believe me or your lying eyes?
  • describes the ongoing cultural revolution which defines reality by its usefulness in achieving left-wing goals

Monday, January 16th, 2023

And now for something completely different, ie nice and civilized: John Mount’s article “Good Stationery as a Tool of Thought”.

Spend a ridiculous amount of effort to have around at all times notepads of varying sizes and capabilities. I have seen a big increase in productivity since saturating my environment with many notepads of different sizes. If you have a good notebook around you will find ways to use it. I always take the largest one that isn’t entirely silly to have around.

Monday, October 3rd, 2022

As Descarte completed his Discourse on the Method I wonder if he had an inkling it would come to this, from “What Trans Health Care for Minors Really Means” by Tyler Santora at mainstream medical reference website WebMD:

For adolescents who are assigned female at birth, top surgery can be performed to create a flat chest. The Endocrine Society states that there is not enough evidence to set a minimum age for this type of gender-affirming surgery, and the draft of the updated SOC recommends a minimum age of 15. “Usually, for a [person] assigned female at birth, the chest tissue continues to mature until around 14 or 15,” Inwards-Breland says. “What I’ve seen surgeons do is after 14, they feel more comfortable.” If, though, a person is started on puberty blockers followed by hormone therapy from a relatively early age ⁠— around 13 ⁠— they will never develop breast tissue and wouldn’t need surgery to remove it.

Steve Jobs said: “Western rational thought is not an innate human characteristic; it is learned and is the great achievement of Western civilization.” Implicit in his statement is that it can be unlearned. As an intellectually inquisitive teenager in the 1980s I would have scoffed at the notion that religion serves to keep us rational. But the evidence suggests that it does, and without its drumbeat the fever dream of linguistic chimeras can drive us surprisingly mad surprisingly quickly.

Saturday, July 30th, 2022

Tuesday, May 17th, 2022

So it seems that video gaming positively impacts childrens’ intelligence

We analyzed 9855 children from the USA who were part of the ABCD dataset with measures of intelligence at baseline (ages 9–10) and after two years. At baseline, time watching (r = − 0.12) and socializing (r = − 0.10) were negatively correlated with intelligence, while gaming did not correlate. After two years, gaming positively impacted intelligence (standardized β =  + 0.17), but socializing had no effect.

Saturday, May 14th, 2022

Thursday, April 14th, 2022

Jonathan Haidt is wise enough to note that it is mainly America, not necessary the rest of the world, that has gone particularly mental the past decade. Haidt blames social media. But the word “marriage” does not occur even once in the article, despite the decade having seen same-sex marriage transformed from oxymoronic absurdity to self-evident cudgel. If a human institution so deep ⁠— deeper than the nationstate, than monotheism, even than history itself ⁠— can be so decidedly upended, then what chance has anything else of standing, the collective subconscious must wonder.

Monday, February 14th, 2022

Marc Andreessen has just tweetstormed a section of an Ayn Rand lecture on the contrast between the tribes of Apollo 11 and of Woodstock. Whilst I commend his pro-Deplorables stand, I do feel that as one of the fathers of the age he could be utilizing his mystique to do more, starting perhaps with banging heads in San Francisco. During a recent podcast interview with I forget whom, he dismissed laughingly the prospect of running for office; perhaps he should reconsider. Also, just for some rounding, he might want to read Mailer’s Of a Fire on the Moon, surely an Apollonian who yearns for the Dionysian.

Friday, February 11th, 2022

Goldman is moved by Reacher:

Radical Protestantism leads the pilgrim from the “howling wilderness” and the “enchanted ground” of the Old World and leads him to the Canaan of the spirit. The question is addressed to, and answered by, the individual pilgrim. The Jew is born into the people of Israel; the Christian seeks adoption into the Israel of the Spirit. American Christianity retains the radical individualism of its Protestant forebears, who chose as individuals to become Americans. We have become Americans by adoption, and we have adopted the history of Israel as our national common memory. A profound parallelism is involved. The biblical Election of Israel was not a prize that God awarded to an unlikely nation of shepherds, but rather the outcome of Israel’s free choice to accept the Torah and the responsibility of election. It is our free choice to become Americans that is the cornerstone of our culture.

Wednesday, February 2nd, 2022

Reading comprehension is reduced when reading from an electronic device, this study reports.

A decline in reading comprehension on a smartphone may be caused, at least in part, by reduced sighing and increased prefrontal activity compared to that on a paper medium.

These days my favorite way to read is to broadcast my phone’s Kindle app onto the TV via Apple TV, viewing from a distancem which probably mitigates most of the problems discussed in this article.

Sunday, January 23rd, 2022

Just a reminder of Walter Russell Mead’s wise words from 2012 regarding anti-Semitism:

The rise of anti-Semitism is a sign of widespread social and cultural failure. It is a leading indicator of a loss of faith in liberal values and of a diminished capacity to understand the modern world and to thrive in it. Societies that tolerate anti-Semitism take a fateful step toward the loss of both freedom and prosperity.

Monday, January 3rd, 2022

Nice, Tasshin writes on Risk:

As I play RISK, I watch myself flip back and forth between means-ends thinking and conditions-consequences thinking. If I lose, I can without fail look back and see that I got trapped in means-ends thinking. If I stay in a conditions-consequences mindset, though, I will almost inevitably win the game.

Saturday, October 30th, 2021

Tuesday, October 26th, 2021

Tuesday, September 28th, 2021

Thursday, September 23rd, 2021

It’s the greatest gig in the world, being alive; you get to eat at Denny’s, wear a hat, whatever you wanna do.

Norm Macdonald

Monday, June 14th, 2021

Monday, May 24th, 2021

Sunday, August 21st, 2016

Thinking, Fast and Slow

Daniel Kahneman

The contents of Daniel Kahneman’s Thinking, Fast and Slow, though perhaps some are contestable, are surprising and mostly new to this layman, and we should all know these things about ourselves, therefore it’s an important book. Presumably this is a retrospective and a compilation so that all this knowledge is available in various books and articles elsewhere, but this is a fine and good way to get it.

Kahneman has led a charmed life it seems. An Israeli old enough to have been around soon after the founding, he was lucky to be in right places at right times – tapped for instance to devise the interview at the Bakum, the induction centre through which practically the entire nation passes. Then he discovered his intellectual partner and the two of them did most of their thinking deep in conversation whilst strolling through Jerusalem, doing psychological and sociological thought experiments that they must have wondered excitedly, incredulously why nobody had thought of before. Then, no fool he, off it was to seats of higher learning in America and never looking back. Because his work has demonstrated some of the human mind’s built-in rational fallaciousness, it has affected economics, which generally presumes people are rational, so much that the work won him a Nobel Prize in Economics.

I’d heard of his book Thinking, Fast and Slow for a few years here and there, but it was finally seeing the Google guys listening enraptured to him at a workshop held by John Brockman of edge.org that finally sent me whizzing, or should I say double Home Button clicking, to the Amazon app and finally buying the book.

Here he explicates the experiments, both his and others’, that demonstrate some of our irrationality. And he lays out a simple schema to help us hang this all on. There are two mental systems, System 1 and System 2, which correspond somewhat to the unconscious and conscious minds. System 2 is lazy and only kicks in when it sees System 1 is failing. But sometimes it is blind to System 1’s failures, so that we end up making mistakes. This is what makes us Humans rather than the chimerical Econs.

So what are the fallacies? There are many, and they are interrelated. Some are to do with memory, some with improper framing. Kahneman has enough confidence in his ideas that he can offer some prescriptives in how to improve one’s thinking. Occasionally I saw how arrogant he must be, despite his gifted twinkling face, because he categorically cast as mistakes, mental abberations, conclusions that didn’t seem to me necessarily wrong.

The style is cogent and literate, but ultimately he seems to eschew style and personality in order to emphasize clarity and simplicity. This is a book however that I recommend for the knowledge it contains. Some of it I already knew from popular articles and general reading, but most of it I didn’t. And this is stuff we should know about ourselves, which is what the book is about, nothing less. In that sense it’s an important book. Presumably this knowledge is all avaiable elsewhere, but this is a fine and good way to get it.

I’m already trying to put it into practice, aware of my fallacious framing after a trip to the car mechanic to fix something a second time. This reminded me of the question about the woman who gets to the theatre and realizes she’s misplaced her two $80 tickets. Should she buy two more? Contrast this with a situation where she lost $160 in cash; should she still buy tickets? Our framing makes it more likely that we would not buy a second pair of tickets in the former case, but would in the latter. This perhaps is one of the cases I’m not fully convinced is a mistake. It’s telling that the example is going to the theatre. Kahneman picks this example seemingly at random, but going to the theatre is likely an optional activity, and it’s rational to cordon these off from the rest of life. Kahneman does not go into this at all, and that is what I mean by his arrogance. Perhaps we would all choose differently if we knew she was an undercover theatre critic and reviewing this play was vital to her career; under those circumstances we would much more likely not care about whether she lost the ticket or cash or whatever. So it’s almost a trick; we bring unexamined assumptions as soon as we hear the word “going to the theatre” that affect our judgment. Perhaps that’s the more pertinent lesson then, that we should try to be aware of these. But that is difficult, very difficult.

I know it’s tough to think properly and read at the same time – this objection to this theatre example I only just thought of now as I write this, not while reading – so this is really a book to read slowly and take note of each example. But as I said, one to read.

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