Israel’s Greatest Victory Since Osirak?

Israel’s Greatest Victory Since Osirak?

If Ariel Sharon’s withdrawal from Gaza was part of a masterplan to staunch the damage done by the victory of the Six Day War in 1967, then today we see another step in its unfolding.

I

t’s a hard lesson to learn, especially for a country that feels itself to be tiny: that defeat can sometimes look like victory, and victory defeat. With the Six Day War in 1967, Israel won a stupendous victory, smashing a number of Arab armies simultaneously and gaining much more territory: the West Bank, Gaza and the Sinai, and of course Jerusalem. But that victory brought seeds of woe and danger: Israel’s military occupation of the Palestinian Arabs of the West Bank and Gaza.

When the great tactician Ariel Sharon became prime minister (“those who don’t want him as chief of staff will get him as defence minister; those who don’t want him as defence minister will get him as prime minister”), he left behind two positive legacies: economic reform implemented by his finance minister Binyamin Netanyahu; and the unilateral withdrawal from Gaza, which Sharon steamrolled through and seemed such a mystery coming from the great advocate of settlement.

My conjecture here is that Sharon had a masterplan that justified this seeming about-face. The withdrawal was intended to undo in a controlled fashion the damage done by the victory of 1967. Its purpose was to bifurcate and thereby defang the Palestinian national movement, to have the Palestinians ease back into their natural spheres of influence ⁠— the Gazans to Egypt, the West Bankers to Jordan, leaving Israel be at long last. When Hamas took over Gaza, Israel expressed dismay, but if Sharon did indeed have an unspoken Gaza masterplan then this was its first milestone. Today, as reported in ‘Gazans Flood Egypt After Border Breach’ by the AP, and ‘Palestinians Topple Gaza Wall and Cross to Egypt’ in The New York Times, we saw the second. With the border between Gaza and Israel sealed and the floodgates opened between Gaza and Egypt, Gaza takes another step towards being absorbed back into Egypt.

Perhaps fancifully, I’d also like to think that the reason Ehud Olmert remains prime minister despite his rock-bottom popularity in polls is that he presented this idea to Sharon, and Sharon was impressed with its subtlety and audacity and decided that this is the wily Machiavellian figure to lead Israel through the coming perilous times; and that the nation trusts Ariel Sharon’s judgment and understands that a plan has been set into motion; and that plan is wise; and that we need some patience to see enough of it bear fruit before making a change. I’d also like to think that George W. Bush is well aware of this plan, and that he and Sharon struck a deal: if the Palestinians are peaceable, then fine, they will get their state in Gaza and the West Bank; but if they are not, if the scorpion cannot help but sting, then their national movement will not be allowed to fester indefinitely as a swamp providing safe harbor for jihadists, and circumstances will have been set in place that permit the Palestinians to rend asunder their own national movement; a majority of them embrace pan-Islamism, wherein the nationstate is not paramount.

Today, the news report says: “The United States expressed concern about the border breach. Israel demanded that Egypt take control of its border.” Here then is the un-’67, a defeat that permits delicious moments. Egypt, given a reprieve regarding Gaza for 40 years, must shoulder its responsibilities once again.

And in an editorial A Farewell to Gaza, the New York Sun opines: “What some see as a problem to be concerned about may also be an opportunity to be seized on, because it could be a first step in getting the world to perceive that many of the residents of Gaza are Egyptians rather than Palestinians. They’d rather be in Egypt than in Gaza, as they showed by voting with their feet these past days. They speak Egyptian Arabic. They have closer family ties to Egypt than they do to the West Bank, where many of them have never even visited.”

The Trail

Wednesday, June 17th, 2026

Amit Segal, longer than usual for his It’s Noon in Israel newsletter, posits the perennial faultline in Israel politics: Jewish vs Israeli.

“Jewish” and “Israeli” are simply the two tenets of Israel’s self-definition as a Jewish and democratic state ⁠— not in open contradiction, since most Israelis hold both, but forever rubbing against each other. Like asking whether strawberry-banana yogurt is more strawberry or banana, Israelis are endlessly asked, in one disguise or another, whether they are slightly more Jewish than democratic or the reverse. Once you see it, most of the news in the country ⁠— most push notifications, most studio shouting matches ⁠— dissolves into that same question, with a thin veneer of fresh event on top.

Segal himself straddles the divide nicely, as does the society writ large, part and parcel of the fading Ashkenazi/Sephardi divide. In my thin slice of observation, secular Israelis who delight in eating swine abroad now light candles and recite more complete prayers at home for Friday night dinner than they used to ⁠— indeed holding Friday night dinner itself is the gateway. And there are so many gateways.

I do however take issue with Amit’s characterization of the Israeli/left side:

Of course we are Jewish, the left answers ⁠— the flag is essentially a prayer shawl, the emblem is the Temple menorah, every kindergartner comes home Friday with a challah ⁠— but that is the décor, not the purpose; the purpose is to be the only democracy in the Middle East.

Instead, it seems to me that people on this side, those of the “villa in the jungle” view, would rather just forget about the jungle; being “the only X in the Middle East” is merely apologetics, not identity. Rather, it’s about being a liberal democracy simply because that is the enlightened, obvious, natural thing to be; anyone with a Yiddisher kopf can see that. And as for the Right downgrading democracy to merely being the operating system, well, that’s what Judaism itself arguably is too, so being the OS is no small thing.

I don’t go to synagogue but the synagogue that I don’t go to is Orthodox.

David Ben-Gurion

Friday, June 12th, 2026

Francesco Parrino is getting the Benny and Björn spirit of things here with his piano cover of Super Trouper, probably my favorite ABBA song ⁠— though like with other covers of his I’ve listened to, I enjoy the first half of the track more than the second.